Victoria recorded 1,377 new COVID19 cases today with a seven-day average now at 1,211. The state government has already announced a detailed roadmap about what happens when different vaccination milestones are achieved.
To understand and make an informed decision about the real situation in Victoria here are some numbers.
New Cases in Victoria over the past 14 days are 12,718.
Victoria Cases over the past 14 days by LGA
1- Metro: 12278 (6190 Unknown Source)
2- Regional: 440 (140 Unknown Source)
Hume: 3602 (1527 Unknown Sources)
Whittlesea: 1278 (626 Unknown Source)
Moreland: 887 (380 Unknown Sources)
Wyndham: 809 (370 Unknown Sources)
Brimbank: 744 (414 Unknown Sources)
Melton: 651 (347 Unknown Source)
Casey: 526 (290 Unknown Source)
Darebin: 399 (232 Unknown Source)
Victoria Active Cases by Age:
0-9 years: 703 Boy 654 Girl
10-19 years: 1094 Boy 959 Girl
20-29 years: 1537 Man 1323 Woman
30-39 years: 1038 Man 948 Woman
40-49 years: 696 Man 708 Woman
50-59 years: 538 Man 530 Woman
60-69 years: 288 Man 280 Woman
70+ years: 178 Man 226 Woman
% of cases in the last 14 days tell us the real story.
29% of the new cases are from the cohort of under 19-year-olds.
Under 9-year-olds are 12 per cent new cases and 10-19-year-olds had 17% new cases in the last 14 days.
IT consultant, Sunnayna Sahu is a resident of Melbourne’s Northern suburb Craigieburn. As per the Victorian government’s roadmap, her 8-year-old daughter is supposed to attend school on 18th October.
She told The Australia Today, “I am fully vaccinated and working from home at the movement and there is no push from my employer to go back to the office once 80% vaccination is done.”
“How, can I send my 8 year old child with no vaccination to school while cases are surging in our area,”said Ms Sahu.
She is not alone, a lot of parents are still contemplating whether to send their child to school or not as per the roadmap announced.
Rehbar Mumtaj is a long term resident of Truganina, a western suburb of Melbourne. Her four children go to Al-Taqwa college which was in the middle of a coronavirus outbreak.
Mumtaj told The Australia Today, “My 12 and 14-year-old daughters will have their first vaccine dose on 11th October. So maybe, I am thinking to send them to school.”
“But my under 12 year daughter and son can’t have any vaccine that’s why my husband doesn’t want to send them to school in the first few week,”said Ms Mumtaj
The following chart tells us that only 13.80% of 12-19-year-olds have received both vaccines as of yesterday 3rd October.
Vaccinations By Age on 03/10/2021
12-19 years: • 50.89% 1️⃣ Vaccine • 13.80% 2️⃣ Vaccine
20-29 years: • 65.02% 1️⃣ Vaccine • 34.27% 2️⃣ Vaccine
30-39 years: • 73.64% 1️⃣ Vaccine • 44.19% 2️⃣ Vaccine
40-49 years: • 80.30% 1️⃣ Vaccine • 63.22% 2️⃣ Vaccine
16+ Australian population vaccine rollout progress on 4th October 2021:
First Vaccine to 79.36% population and both Vaccine (fully vaccinated) to 56.52% population.
According to the current rate 7️⃣0️⃣% (16+) Australians will be fully vaccinated in the next 18 days – that is on 22nd October 2021.
However, 16+ Victorians will be 70% fully vaccinated in 22 days that is on 26th October 2021.
Another landmark will be of 8️⃣0️⃣% fully vaccinated 16+ Australian population:
This will be achieved at the current rate in 32 days time on 5th November 2021.
Victoria will achieve this fully vaccinated 80% population tag in 35 days on 8th November 2021.
However, Victorian health departments data shows that 12+-year-olds will be 80% fully vaccinated in 43 days on 16th November 2021.
The bigger question is around the safety of under 12-year-olds as there is no COVID19 vaccine available for them.
As per the Victorian government’s roadmap for a return to school schedule:
Prep will return on Monday 18th October for two days a week (Monday-Wednesday)
Year 1-2 will return on Monday 18th October for two days a week (Thursday-Friday)
Year 3-4 will return on Tuesday 26th October for two days a week (Tuesday- Wednesday)
Year 5-6 will return on Tuesday 26th October for two days a week (Thursday-Friday)
Year 7 will return on Tuesday 26th October for all five days of the week.
Year 8-9 will return on Tuesday 26th October for two days a week (Tuesday- Wednesday)
Year 11 will return on Tuesday 26th October for all five days of the week.
Year 12 will return on Wednesday 6th October for all five days of the week.
All students will be attending face to face learning every weekday on 5th November 2021.
Victoria has 585 active exposure sites as of today out of the 146 are tier-1 and 435 are tier-2.