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Trump and Albanese strike US$8.5 billion minerals pact to break China’s grip on rare earths

The agreement will accelerate Australia’s move up the value chain—from raw materials exporter to processor and manufacturer.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese met U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House, where the two leaders signed a major critical-minerals agreement aimed at countering China’s dominance in strategic resource supply chains.

According to official announcements and media reporting, the deal is valued at approximately US$8.5 billion (around A$13 billion) and involves both nations committing at least US$1 billion each within the next six months to mining, processing and value-added projects for rare earths, critical minerals and allied technologies.

Image Source: PM&C
Image Source: PM&C

A key impetus for the agreement is the growing concern over China’s near-monopoly on the processing of rare earths and other strategic inputs used in defence systems, electric vehicles, and high-tech manufacturing. Australian and U.S. officials have repeatedly noted the need for diversified, resilient supply chains beyond China.

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For Australia, this deal presents both economic and strategic opportunity. With vast reserves of lithium, rare earths, nickel and other critical elements, Australia has long positioned itself as a key partner for allied nations seeking secure supply. The agreement will accelerate Australia’s move up the value chain—from raw materials exporter to processor and manufacturer.

Image Source: PM&C
Image Source: PM&C

From the U.S. perspective, the deal helps reduce reliance on adversarial supply sources and links American industrial competitiveness and national security more directly to trusted partners. For Washington, locking in Australian feedstock and processing capacity is part of a broader strategy to shore up supply-chain resilience and defence readiness.

Importantly, the agreement complements the broader defence partnership between the two nations. During the summit, Trump reaffirmed support for the AUKUS nuclear-powered submarine deal, placing the critical minerals pact within the broader Indo-Pacific security architecture.

Image Source: PM&C
Image Source: PM&C

However, the agreement also faces clear challenges. The details of binding commitments versus memoranda are still emerging; environmental, permitting and infrastructure hurdles in Australia remain; and investment risk still needs to be managed for large-scale processing facilities to be built. Analysts caution that the gap from announcement to delivery is where many previous initiatives have stalled.

Image Source: PM&C
Image Source: PM&C

In the final analysis, the pact signals a strategic shift: Australia and the U.S. are treating critical minerals not just as economic commodities but as key national-security assets. And in the face of China’s export-control pressure, the agreement positions their alliance as more than a diplomatic handshake—it becomes a tangible axis of supply-chain security.

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